Za propad ceny bitcoinu údajně může expirace futures kontraktů
Aktualizováno
Tom Lee, ředitel výzkumu v uznávané analytické společnosti Fundstrat, vysvětluje razantní pokles v ceně bitcoinu (ze 7700 na 6300 dolarů během jednoho týdne) blížící se expirací bitcoinových futures. Futures jsou finanční kontrakty, které stručně řečeno představují sázku na budoucí cenu určitého aktiva, v tomto případě bitcoinu. Je-li větší část těchto kontraktů sázkou na pokles, je zde poté motivace držitelů kontraktů prodávat před jejich expirací bitcoiny, aby srazili cenu.
Podle Leeho existuje pozorovatelná korelace mezi expirací futures kontraktů, poprvé spuštěných v prosinci 2017, a cenou bitcoinu. Dle Leeho dochází 10 dní před expirací k poklesu ceny průměrně o 18 procent; cena se údajně vrátí na původní hodnoty 6 dní poté.
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